The Long-Term Effects of Protestantism

I just came across a couple of interesting new working papers on the historical effects of Protestantism.  The first builds on Robert Woodberry’s work on the effect of the printing press in Sub-Saharan Africa. In “The LongTerm Effects of the Printing Press in SubSaharan Africa,” Julia Cage and Valeria Rueda find “that, within regions located close to missions, proximity to a printing press significantly increases newspaper readership today” and that there is “a strong association between proximity to a printing press and contemporary economic development.”

Rossella Calvi and Federico Mantovanelli, in a paper titled “Long-Term Effects of Access to Health Care: Medical Missions in Colonial India” also find some positive long-term effects of Protestant missions, but this time in India.  They show that “a 50% reduction in the distance from a historical medical facility increases current individuals’ body mass index by 0.4.”  The path dependence “is not driven by persistence of infrastructure, but by improvements in individuals’ health potential and changes in hygiene and health habits.”

Politically Robust Randomization?

Gary King gave what looks to be a fascinating presentation on program evaluation in the context of Mexico’s  health care assistance program, Seguro Popular.

According to Gary, traditional randomization is not politically robust and he presents an alternative approach called Matched-Pair Randomization.

Here’s a couple of his slides to whet your appetite:

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However you slice it though, from what I got out of the slides, the program so far is NOT improving health outcomes in Mexico.